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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Patronato

Botafogo
1 - 1
Patronato

Henrique (3')
Janderson (44'), Sampaio (54'), Hugo (74'), Di Placido (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arce (67')
Pereyra (25'), Arce (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Botafogo and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 16 at 1am in Brasileiro

Patronato

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Patronato 0-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, July 12 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawPatronato
62.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)13.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 37.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.09% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)59.91% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)80.16% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)18.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)50.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)87.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 62.67%
    Patronato 13.58%
    Draw 23.73%
BotafogoDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 16.88%
2-0 @ 14.06%
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 62.67%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.28%
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 13.58%

Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 11pm
Round of 32
Patronato
0-2
Botafogo

Ojeda (26'), Valdez (32'), Domingo (55')
Alberto (52'), Janderson (65')
Hernandez (64')
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