Copa Libertadores
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Bernardo Cuesta
8'
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Bernardo Cuesta
8'
-
Cristian Bordacahar
13'
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Cristian Bordacahar
13'
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Tomas Martinez
22'
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Tomas Martinez
22'
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Bernardo Cuesta
41'
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Bernardo Cuesta
41'
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Jhamir Adrian D´Arrigo Huanca
58'
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Jhamir D'Arrigo
58'
Melgar vs Patronato - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.
Result
Melgar
54.77%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
25.27%
▼
(-0.16)
Patronato
19.96%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
45.09%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.48%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
56.53%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 3.5
22.49%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
77.52%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 4.5
9.8%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
90.2%
▼
(-0.17)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
79.35%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
20.66%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
46.77%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 1.5
53.23%
▼
(-0.45)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5
56.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
43.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
20.56%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
79.44%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Melgar
54.76%
Draw
25.27%
Patronato
19.96%
Melgar
1-0
@
14.06%
▼
(-0.06)
2-0 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.76%
2-0 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.76%
Draw
1-1
@
11.81%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.27%
0-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.27%
Patronato
0-1
@
7.49%
▼
(-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.96%
1-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.96%