Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Melgar

Melgar
1 - 1
Olimpia

Cuesta (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Paiva (14')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Melgar and Olimpia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

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Last Game: Melgar 0-3 Independiente
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Olimpia

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Last Game: Atletico GO 2-0 Olimpia (5-3 pen.)
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MelgarDrawOlimpia
46.22% (-0.331 -0.33)26.91% (0.256 0.26)26.87% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.682 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25% (-0.905 -0.91)56.74% (0.89899999999999 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (-0.732 -0.73)77.69% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.557 -0.56)24.52% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-0.78599999999999 -0.79)58.99% (0.781 0.78)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.436 -0.44)36.67% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-0.439 -0.44)73.46% (0.434 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Melgar 46.22%
    Olimpia 26.87%
    Draw 26.91%
MelgarDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.22%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.306 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.87%

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