Atletico Nacional vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.