Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mateo Levato 2' goal
  • goal Dorlan Pabon 77'
  • goal Dorlan Pabon 79'

Patronato vs Atletico Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

All competitions

Atletico Nacional

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Patronato 36.19% (-0.81)
Draw 28.64% (+0.33)
Atletico Nacional 35.16% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89% (-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.42% (-1.13)
Under 2.5 60.58% (+1.13)
Over 3.5 19.32% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 80.68% (+0.87)
Over 4.5 7.95% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 92.05% (+0.50)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5 68.08% (-1.09)
Under 0.5 31.92% (+1.09)
Over 1.5 31.63% (-1.26)
Under 1.5 68.37% (+1.26)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 67.41% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 32.59% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 30.87% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 69.13% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Patronato 36.19%
Draw 28.63%
Atletico Nacional 35.16%
Patronato
1-0 @ 11.87% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 10.4% (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.63%
Atletico Nacional
0-1 @ 11.66% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.54% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.44% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.16%