Copa Libertadores
Apr 19, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manuel Ferreira
  • Fernando Cardozo 44' goal

Olimpia vs Patronato - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 1.00am
Melgar 1 - 1 Olimpia

Patronato

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
Patronato 1 - 2 Atletico Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olimpia in this match.

Result

Olimpia 44.97% (+0.01)
Draw 27.63% (+0.04)
Patronato 27.39% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.15% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.96% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 59.03% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 20.5% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 79.5% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 8.63% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 91.37% (+0.06)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5 73.83% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 26.17% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.74% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.26% (+0.08)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5 62.51% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 37.49% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 25.73% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 74.27% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Olimpia 44.97%
Draw 27.63%
Patronato 27.39%
Olimpia
1-0 @ 13.15% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.82% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.81% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.63%
Patronato
0-1 @ 9.63% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.39%