Patronato
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López

Patronato
0 - 2
Olimpia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (9'), Torres (76')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Patronato and Olimpia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Patronato 4-1 Melgar
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Melgar vs. Patronato
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 2-2 Olimpia
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico Nacional
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawOlimpia
38.98% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)27.06% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)33.96% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (0.071999999999996 0.07)54.78% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (0.061 0.06)76.09% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)27.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)62.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (0.099999999999994 0.1)30.43% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.119 0.12)66.64% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 38.98%
    Olimpia 33.96%
    Draw 27.05%
PatronatoDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 33.96%

How you voted: Patronato vs Olimpia

Patronato
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Olimpia
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Olimpia
1-0
Patronato
Cardozo (44')
Zavala (78'), Salazar (86'), Ortiz (90+2')

Sosa (18'), Gonzalez (37'), Solis (90+4')