Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 1.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Dorlan Pabon 26' goal
  • Cristian Castro 65' goal
  • goal Fernando Cardozo 48'
  • goal Facundo Bruera 78'

Atletico Nacional vs Olimpia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 1.00am
Atletico Nacional 3 - 1 Melgar

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 1.00am
Olimpia 1 - 0 Patronato

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Nacional 36.26% (-0.41)
Draw 27.82% (-0.01)
Olimpia 35.91% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.34% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.42% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 57.58% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 21.64% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.36% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9.29% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.71% (-0.02)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 69.63% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 30.37% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 33.44% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 66.56% (+0.29)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5 69.42% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 30.58% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 33.18% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 66.82% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Atletico Nacional 36.25%
Draw 27.82%
Olimpia 35.91%
Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 36.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.82%
Olimpia
0-1 @ 11% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.77% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.52% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.07% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.57% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 35.91%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 4, 2022 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nelson Palacio 43' yellowcard
  • Andres Andrade 46' goal
  • Jarlan Barrera 56' yellowcard
  • Kevin Leonardo Mier Robles 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin Mier 57' yellowcard
  • Felipe Aguilar 71' redcard
  • Emanuel Olivera 76' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gomez 84' yellowcard
  • Ruyery Alfonso Blanco Yus 87' yellowcard
  • Ruyery Blanco 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 23'
  • goal Saul Salcedo 57'
  • yellowcard Marcos Gomez 70'
  • redcard Guillermo Paiva 71'
Copa Libertadores
Feb 25, 2022 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alejandro Silva 7' goal
  • Alejandro Silva 64' yellowcard
  • Fernando Cardozo 81' goal
  • Victor Salazar 85' yellowcard
  • Nestor Camacho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Fernando Cardozo 90'+2' goal
  • goal Jarlan Barrera 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gomez Londono 63'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gomez 63'
  • yellowcard Dorlan Pabon 64'
  • yellowcard Nelson Palacio Ruiz 72'
  • yellowcard Nelson Palacio 72'