Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.