Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Patronato

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Nacional

Last Game: Olimpia 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Patronato

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Melgar 5-0 Patronato
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Nacional	Draw	Patronato
51.22% ( 0.44)	25.68% ( -0.21)	23.1% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 47.87% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

0.6)

54.93% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

0.49)

76.22% (

-0.49)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

0.44)

21.49% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

0.67)

54.53% (

-0.66)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97% (

0.12)

39.03% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25% (

0.11)

75.76% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Atletico Nacional 51.21%

Patronato 23.1%

Draw 25.68%

Atletico Nacional	Draw	Patronato
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.1%