Copa Libertadores
Jun 28, 2023 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • goal Cristian Gonzalez 81'
  • goal Cristian Gonzalez 81'

Atletico Nacional vs Patronato - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 9, 2023 1.00am
Olimpia 3 - 0 Atletico Nacional

Patronato

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 7, 2023 1.00am
Melgar 5 - 0 Patronato

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Nacional 51.22% (+0.45)
Draw 25.68% (-0.22)
Patronato 23.1% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.87% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.07% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 54.93% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 23.78% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 76.22% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 10.6% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 89.41% (-0.30)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 78.51% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 21.49% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 45.47% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 54.53% (-0.67)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5 60.97% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 39.03% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 24.25% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 75.76% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Atletico Nacional 51.21%
Draw 25.68%
Patronato 23.1%
Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.08% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.78% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.95% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.84% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.39% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.68%
Patronato
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.1%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mateo Levato 2' goal
  • goal Dorlan Pabon 77'
  • goal Dorlan Pabon 79'