Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Fluminense
36.24% ( 1.09)	26.67% ( 0.26)	37.08% ( -1.36)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95% (

-1.04)

53.04% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

-0.89)

74.63% (

0.88)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

0.16)

28.16% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

0.2)

63.84% (

-0.21)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-1.26)

27.66% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.79% (

-1.65)

63.21% (

1.65)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 36.24%

Fluminense 37.08%

Draw 26.67%

Coritiba	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.08%