Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.