Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.