Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Jul 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Alinja Arena

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 4-1 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Erick (45' og., 45' og.), Barbosa (90+3', 90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, July 9 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
45.29% ( 1.67)	25.44% ( 0.12)	29.28% ( -1.78)

Both teams to score 53.82% (

-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3% (

-1.32)

49.69% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29% (

-1.19)

71.71% (

1.19)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

0.21)

21.93% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.8% (

0.32)

55.2% (

-0.32)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.93% (

-1.91)

31.07% (

1.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.62% (

-2.29)

67.38% (

2.3)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 45.28%

Flamengo 29.28%

Draw 25.43%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.28%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.28%