Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Pikachu (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
62.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)15.27% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.49% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.28% (0.068000000000005 0.07)52.72% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (0.058 0.06)74.35% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (0.012999999999991 0.01)16.45% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)46.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.25% (0.089000000000006 0.09)46.74% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.71% (0.067999999999998 0.07)82.29% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 62.24%
    Athletico Paranaense 15.27%
    Draw 22.46%
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 62.24%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.46%
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 15.27%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Athletico PR

Fortaleza
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Athletico Paranaense
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 30
Athletico PR
1-1
Fortaleza
Pablo (90+2')
Galhardo (15')
Jun 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Fortaleza
0-0
Athletico PR
Pikachu (72')
Fernandes (50'), Cirino (82'), Erick (86')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 11.15pm
Gameweek 28
Fortaleza
3-0
Athletico PR
Lima (1'), Pikachu (7'), Robson (61')
Robson (73'), Ederson (77')

Canesin (32'), Christian (39')
> Preview
Jul 3, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 9
Athletico PR
2-1
Fortaleza
Terans (2'), Babi (9')
Vitinho (34'), Babi (90+3'), Vinicius (90+3')
Torres (86')
Robson (30'), Ronald (34'), Pikachu (45+2')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 20
Athletico PR
2-1
Fortaleza
Eduardo (62'), Kayzer (90+2')
Martins (64'), Canesin (81')
Bergson (18')
de Souza (60'), Bergson (90+3')