Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Palestino	Draw	Fortaleza
28.63% ( -0.01)	25.32% ( 0.01)	46.05% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.78% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

-0.03)

49.56% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.41% (

-0.02)

71.59% (

0.03)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53% (

-0.02)

31.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

-0.02)

67.86% (

0.03)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

-0.01)

21.53% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41% (

-0.01)

54.59% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Palestino 28.63%

Fortaleza 46.05%

Draw 25.31%

Palestino	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.63%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.05%