Copa Sudamericana
Jun 27, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Teniente
  • Agustin Farias 76' goal
  • goal Lucas Crispim 20'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 74'

Palestino vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 9, 2023 1.00am
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Palestino

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 6, 2023 11.00pm
Estudiantes 1 - 0 Fortaleza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result

Palestino 28.63% (-0.02)
Draw 25.32% (+0.01)
Fortaleza 46.05% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.78% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.44% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 49.56% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.59% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 13.59% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.41% (+0.02)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 68.53% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.47% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.14% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.86% (+0.03)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 78.47% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.53% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.41% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.59% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Palestino 28.63%
Draw 25.31%
Fortaleza 46.05%
Palestino
1-0 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 28.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.78% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 10.4% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-2 @ 7.99% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.05%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Thiago Galhardo 4' goal
  • Tomas Pochettino 75' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 90'+1' goal
  • Tomas Pochettino 90'+4' goal