Copa Sudamericana
Aug 2, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Carlos Eduardo 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Hugo 65' goal
  • Tiquinho 90' goal
  • goal Romeo Benitez 3'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gil Romero 40'
  • yellowcard Luis Martinez 83'
  • yellowcard Dario Rios 86'

Botafogo vs Guarani - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Guarani

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 10.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.03%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result

Botafogo 70.02% (-0.01)
Draw 19.81% (-0.02)
Guarani 10.17% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.17% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.81% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 53.19% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 25.24% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 74.75% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 11.51% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 88.48% (-0.07)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 85.9% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 14.1% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 58.28% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 41.72% (-0.07)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5 44.44% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 55.56% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 11.79% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 88.21% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Botafogo 70.01%
Draw 19.81%
Guarani 10.17%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 15.34% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 15.03% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 9.82% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.77% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 70.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.81%
Guarani
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 10.17%