Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 10.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.03%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Guarani
70.02% ( -0)	19.81% ( -0.02)	10.17% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 38.17% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.81% (

0.11)

53.19% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.24% (

0.09)

74.75% (

-0.1)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.9% (

0.03)

14.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.28% (

0.07)

41.72% (

-0.07)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.44% (

0.11)

55.56% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.79% (

0.06)

88.21% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 70.01%

Guarani 10.17%

Draw 19.81%

Botafogo	Draw	Guarani
1-0 @ 15.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 15.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 70.01%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.81%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 10.17%