Brasileiro | Gameweek 21

Aug 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
3 - 0
Bahia

Costa (4', 52'), Henrique (76')
Costa (18'), Janderson (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mingotti (23'), Oliveira Souza (27'), Yago (85')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Defensa
Wednesday, August 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bahia

All competitions

Last Game: Bahia 4-0 Bragantino
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Bahia
61.32% ( 0.23)	22.7% ( 0)	15.97% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 45.3% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.54% (

-0.4)

52.46% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

-0.35)

74.13% (

0.34)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

-0.06)

16.68% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

-0.1)

46.55% (

0.1)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.37% (

-0.56)

45.63% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.56% (

-0.44)

81.43% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 61.32%

Bahia 15.97%

Draw 22.7%

Botafogo	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 61.32%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 15.97%