Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
0 - 0
Bahia

Bahia (18'), Gilberto (25'), Xavier (31'), Ratao (76')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bahia

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 11.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.67%) and 3-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Bahia
69.31% ( -0.41)	19.49% ( 0.15)	11.2% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 42.34% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57% (

0.06)

49.43% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53% (

0.06)

71.47% (

-0.06)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.84% (

-0.11)

13.15% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.17% (

-0.21)

39.83% (

0.2)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.75% (

0.53)

51.25% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.49% (

0.35)

85.5% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 69.3%

Bahia 11.2%

Draw 19.49%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Bahia
2-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 69.3%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.49%	0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 11.2%