Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.