Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Bahia
Jul 22, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Corinthians
  • Kanu 86' yellowcard
  • Ademir 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Yago 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Murillo 90'
  • yellowcard Gil 90'+3'

Bahia vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2023 10.30pm
Athletico PR 2 - 0 Bahia
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Everaldo Stum

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Bahia 45.15% ▼ (-1.81)
Draw 28.58% ▲ (+0.74)
Corinthians 26.26% ▲ (+1.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.93% ▼ (-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.27% ▼ (-1.79)
Under 2.5 62.73% ▲ (+1.79)
Over 3.5 17.73% ▼ (-1.32)
Under 3.5 82.27% ▲ (+1.32)
Over 4.5 7.06% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 4.5 92.93% ▲ (+0.73)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 72.19% ▼ (-1.76)
Under 0.5 27.81% ▲ (+1.76)
Over 1.5 36.6% ▼ (-2.30)
Under 1.5 63.4% ▲ (+2.30)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 59.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 22.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 77.13% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Bahia 45.15%
Draw 28.58%
Corinthians 26.25%
Bahia
1-0 @ 14.42% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.31)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.74)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.58%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.64)
1-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 26.25%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Corinthians
Oct 6, 2021 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bahia
  • Roger Guedes 45'+4' goal
  • Victor Cantillo 52' goal
  • Jo 70' goal
  • goal Gilberto 33'
  • yellowcard Lucas Araujo 42'
  • redcard Lucas Araujo 45'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Bahia
Jun 20, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Corinthians
  • Matheus Bahia 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roni 35'
  • yellowcard Gabriel 61'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Bahia
Jan 28, 2021 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Corinthians
  • Gregore 27' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 31' goal
  • Juan Pablo Ramirez 35' yellowcard
  • Juan Pablo Ramirez 45'+4' goal
  • Ramon 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jo 11'
  • goal Gabriel 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Corinthians
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Bahia
  • Fagner 9' yellowcard
  • Angelo Araos 13' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 17' goal
  • Roni Medeiros de Moura 34' goal
  • Roni 34' goal
  • Gil 61' goal
  • Joao Vitor Xavier de Almeida 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Xavier 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Nino Paraiba 36'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo 44'
  • yellowcard Nino Paraiba 59'
  • goal Matheus Bonifacio Saldanha Marinho 89'
  • goal Saldanha 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Corinthians
Sep 21, 2019 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Corinthians (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Bahia
  • Vagner Love 44' goal
  • Clayson 45' yellowcard
  • Clayson 75' goal
  • Vagner Love 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nino Paraiba 41'
  • yellowcard Lucas Fonseca 53'
  • yellowcard Artur 53'
  • goal Gilberto 64'
  • yellowcard Flavio 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Bahia
Apr 28, 2019 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
Corinthians
  • Arthur 45' goal
  • Nino Paraiba 61' yellowcard
  • Artur 76' goal
  • Rogerio 84' goal
  • yellowcard Cassio Ramos 37'
  • goal Pedrinho 45'
  • yellowcard Mauro Boselli 51'
  • yellowcard Carlos Augusto 86'
  • yellowcard Fagner 91'
  • goal Clayson 95'

Form Data

Athletico PR 2 - 0 Bahia
Gremio 1 - 1 Bahia
Cuiaba 1 - 1 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio
Bahia 1 - 2 Gremio
Fluminense 2 - 1 Bahia
Universitario 1 - 2 Corinthians
Corinthians 3 - 2 America Mineiro
Corinthians 1 - 0 Universitario
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 1 Corinthians
America Mineiro 1 - 0 Corinthians
Corinthians 0 - 1 Bragantino