Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Corinthians
45.15% ( -1.8)	28.58% ( 0.74)	26.26% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 42.93% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.27% (

-1.78)

62.73% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.73% (

-1.31)

82.27% (

1.32)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-1.75)

27.81% (

1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-2.3)

63.4% (

2.3)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47% (

-0.05)

40.53% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

-0.05)

77.13% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Bahia 45.15%

Corinthians 26.25%

Draw 28.58%

Bahia	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.67% Total : 45.15%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.58%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.31% Total : 26.25%