Brasileiro | Gameweek 14

Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Corinthians

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guedes (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.63%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Corinthians
66.33% ( -0.62)	21.83% ( 0.26)	11.84% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 37.91% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.25% (

-0.18)

56.75% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3% (

-0.14)

77.7% (

0.14)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.53% (

-0.27)

16.47% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.82% (

-0.49)

46.18% (

0.49)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.39% (

0.53)

54.61% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.35% (

0.32)

87.65% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 66.32%

Corinthians 11.84%

Draw 21.83%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 16.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 14.63% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.11% Total : 66.32%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.78% Total : 11.84%