Corinthians
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Corinthians
3 - 0
Liverpool

Araujo (32', 32'), Augusto da Silva (64'), Augusto (64'), Adson (80', 80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Corinthians and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nacional
Friday, June 23 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawLiverpool
63.81% (0.20200000000001 0.2)21.79% (-0.041 -0.04)14.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 44.45% (-0.254 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.133 -0.13)51.66% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.116 -0.12)73.44% (0.116 0.12)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (0.022000000000006 0.02)15.57% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.47% (0.041000000000004 0.04)44.53% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65% (-0.315 -0.31)47.35% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (-0.237 -0.24)82.75% (0.236 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 63.8%
    Liverpool 14.4%
    Draw 21.79%
CorinthiansDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 13.71% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.75% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 14.4%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Liverpool

Corinthians
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Liverpool
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Liverpool
0-3
Corinthians
Balbuena (45+1'), Guedes (49', 63')
rhs 2.0


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