Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Jun 27, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Bareiro (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomes (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Club Libertad and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Libertad
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
34.41% ( -0.28)	27.73% ( -0.12)	37.86% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

0.43)

57.31% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86% (

0.34)

78.15% (

-0.34)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

0.03)

31.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

0.04)

67.79% (

-0.04)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

0.45)

29.26% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

0.55)

65.22% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 34.4%

Atletico Mineiro 37.86%

Draw 27.73%

Club Libertad	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.4%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.86%