Gremio
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Arena do Gremio
Bahia

Gremio
1 - 1
Bahia

Villasanti (72', 72')
FT
(aet)
Stum (45+5', 45+5')
Gremio win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Gremio and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.14%).

Result
GremioDrawBahia
53.75% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)24.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)21.62% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.37% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)74.06% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)19.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)51.26% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.04% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.76% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.75%
    Bahia 21.62%
    Draw 24.62%
GremioDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 21.62%

How you voted: Gremio vs Bahia

Gremio
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Bahia
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 1am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bahia
1-1
Gremio
Stum (47')
Chavez (63'), Kanu (90'), Kanu (90+8'), Mugni (90+2')
Cuiabano (90+5')
Villasanti (31')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bahia
1-2
Gremio
Kayky (20')
Acevedo (37'), Thaciano (69'), Cicinho (90+1')
Cristaldo (9'), Martins (90+5')
Pedro (32'), Portaluppi (44+44'), Kannemann (67')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Bahia (13'), Nascimento (18'), Danielzinho (85')
Rodrigoinho (32'), Paraiba (45+1'), Mugni (70')
Thiago (62')
Vanderson (36'), Cortez (47'), Kannemann (73')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 17
Gremio
2-0
Bahia
Borja (50'), Souza (90+5')
Silva (87')

Gilberto (67')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
2-1
Bahia
Vanderson (16'), Souza (54')
Henrique (51'), Vanderlei (86')
Martins (47')
Andrade (44'), Ramon (51'), Rossi (68'), Gilberto (90')