Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.14%).