Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Aug 13, 2023 at 3pm UK

Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
Bahia

Paulinho (49')
Otavio (44'), Pavon (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Teixeira (72')
Carlos (90+6')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bahia

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bahia 3-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Bahia
56.89% ( 0.35)	24.45% ( -0.15)	18.66% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 45.33% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87% (

0.31)

55.13% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

0.26)

76.37% (

-0.26)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73% (

0.25)

19.27% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99% (

0.42)

51% (

-0.42)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15% (

-0.05)

43.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.01% (

-0.04)

79.99% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 56.88%

Bahia 18.66%

Draw 24.45%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 13.91% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.75% Total : 56.88%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.66%