Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 23, 2023 at 1am UK

Arena do Gremio

Gremio
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Cardoso Falkoski (11'), Ronald (11')
Uvini (5'), Reinaldo (62'), Grando (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rubens (45+5'), Saravia (76'), Lemos (89'), Santana (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Goias 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
33.88% ( -0.06)	27.71% ( 0.07)	38.4% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

-0.27)

57.31% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86% (

-0.22)

78.14% (

0.22)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

-0.18)

31.76% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81% (

-0.21)

68.19% (

0.21)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.06% (

-0.13)

28.94% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18% (

-0.17)

64.82% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Gremio 33.88%

Atletico Mineiro 38.4%

Draw 27.71%

Gremio	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.88%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 38.4%