Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Aug 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras

(Palmeiras win 1-0 on aggregate)

Arana (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Veiga (29')
Menino (62'), Jhon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 30 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: America Mineiro 1-4 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
43.68% ( -0.06)	27.42% ( 0.05)	28.9% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.62% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41% (

-0.17)

57.59% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63% (

-0.14)

78.36% (

0.13)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

-0.11)

26.17% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

-0.15)

61.25% (

0.14)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51% (

-0.08)

35.49% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-0.09)

72.26% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 43.68%

Palmeiras 28.9%

Draw 27.41%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.9%