Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

(Palmeiras win 1-0 on aggregate)

Menino (1'), Menino (1'), Rony (60'), Rony (60'), Gomez (82'), Gomez (82'), Cerqueira (88'), Cerqueira (88')

Saravia (77'), Saravia (77'), Edenilson (89'), Edenilson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, August 6 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
52.92%	24.24%	22.83% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

0.01)

49.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

0.01)

71.59% (

-0.01)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

0.01)

18.68% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98% (

0.01)

50.02% (

-0)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

0.02)

36.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

0.01)

73.07% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 52.92%

Atletico Mineiro 22.83%

Draw 24.23%

Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.92%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.83%