America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Palmeiras

America Mineiro
1 - 4
Palmeiras

Nicolas (38')
Paulinho (16'), Juninho (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cerqueira (18'), Rony (26', 59'), Artur (53')
Gomez (37')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 America Mineiro
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawPalmeiras
30.92% (0.92 0.92)27.61% (0.338 0.34)41.47% (-1.259 -1.26)
Both teams to score 48% (-0.598 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.44% (-0.945 -0.95)57.56% (0.943 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (-0.757 -0.76)78.34% (0.753 0.75)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (0.182 0.18)33.95% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (0.197 0.2)70.63% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-1.111 -1.11)27.32% (1.108 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-1.465 -1.47)62.78% (1.461 1.46)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 30.92%
    Palmeiras 41.47%
    Draw 27.61%
America MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.402 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.244 0.24)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 13% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.28% (0.328 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 12.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.47%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Palmeiras

America Mineiro
0.0%
Draw
12.5%
Palmeiras
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 37
Palmeiras
2-1
America Mineiro
Scarpa (42' pen.), Cerqueira (81')
Benitez (15')
Jul 22, 2022 12am
Gameweek 18
America Mineiro
0-1
Palmeiras

Maidana (51'), Matheusinho (56'), Caceres (56'), Patric (61')
Scarpa (65')
Wesley (17'), Danilo (40'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 24
America Mineiro
2-1
Palmeiras
Patric (73'), Ademir (90+1' pen.)
Eduardo (49'), Patric (85')
Rony (29')
Menino (15'), Jorge (60'), Renan (88'), Melo (90+2')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Palmeiras
2-1
America Mineiro
Willian (39', 90+5')
de Paula (22'), Renan (26'), Jailson (71')
Geovane (38')
Ramon (67'), Sabino (79'), Geovane (84')
> Preview
Dec 31, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
America Mineiro
0-2
Palmeiras
Adriano (69'), Rony (86')