Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 1
America Mineiro

Hugo (90+5')
De Arrascaeta (39'), Lucas (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Azevedo (84')
Borges (19'), Paulinho (45+6'), Benitez (54'), Maidana (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

America Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: America Mineiro 5-1 Colo-Colo
Tuesday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 76.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 8.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.33%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	America Mineiro
76.63% ( 0.33)	14.81% ( -0.12)	8.56% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.84% (

-0.21)

36.16% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.72% (

-0.22)

58.28% (

0.22)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.21% (

0.02)

7.79% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.33% (

0.06)

27.67% (

-0.06)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.13% (

-0.63)

47.87% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.86% (

-0.47)

83.14% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 76.62%

America Mineiro 8.56%

Draw 14.81%

Flamengo	Draw	America Mineiro
2-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.06% 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 76.62%	1-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.81%	0-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 8.56%