Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Parque
Fortaleza

Palmeiras
3 - 1
Fortaleza

Rios (8'), Veiga (76'), Lopes (90+6')
Piquerez (79'), Rafael (81'), Weverton (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martin Lucero (45' pen.)
Marcelo (6'), Titi (9'), P. Vojvoda (72'), Sasha (75'), Welison (78'), Britez (82'), Romero (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawFortaleza
69.53% (-0.125 -0.13)19.16% (0.082999999999998 0.08)11.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.254 -0.25)47.82% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.236 -0.24)70% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.114 -0.11)12.6% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (-0.231 -0.23)38.71% (0.227 0.23)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.97% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)50.03% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.32% (-0.064 -0.06)84.68% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 69.53%
    Fortaleza 11.3%
    Draw 19.16%
PalmeirasDrawFortaleza
2-0 @ 13.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.34% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.84% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 69.53%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.16%
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 11.3%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Fortaleza

Palmeiras
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Fortaleza
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 31, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Fortaleza
1-0
Palmeiras
Martin Lucero (73')
Galhardo (25')

Ferreira (38'), Rony (38'), Piquerez (57'), Navarro (75'), Weverton (87')
Ferreira (77')
Nov 3, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Palmeiras
4-0
Fortaleza
Rony (15', 48'), Dudu (32'), Endrick (64')
Jul 10, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 16
Fortaleza
0-0
Palmeiras
Rony (73')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 34
Fortaleza
1-0
Palmeiras
Robson (39')
David (6'), Marcelo (13'), Jussa (50')

Rafael (45+3'), Gomez (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Gameweek 15
Palmeiras
2-3
Fortaleza
Titi (12' og.), Willian (34')
Renan (21'), Rafael (45'), Gomez (57'), Luis (79'), de Paula (84')
Luis (90')
Marcelo (18'), Robson (25'), Torres (90+4')
Felipe (36'), Torres (90+6')
Felipe (70')
> Preview