Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Aug 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha (8'), Nestor (45+2'), Diego (62'), David (72'), Maia (80'), Beraldo (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hulk (4'), Pavon (69' pen.)
Jemerson (1'), Battaglia (60'), Saravia (62'), Pavon (70'), Mendes (90+1')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 3 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
46.44% ( -0.1)	26.82% ( -0.05)	26.74% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51% (

0.3)

56.49% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52% (

0.25)

77.49% (

-0.24)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.09)

24.31% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

0.12)

58.69% (

-0.11)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

0.3)

36.64% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

0.3)

73.43% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 46.43%

Atletico Mineiro 26.74%

Draw 26.81%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.43%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.74%