Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Aug 23, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 1
Defensa

(Defensa y Justicia win 3-2 on aggregate)

Gabriel (56')
Gabriel (29'), Tche (43'), Pedro Galvao de Carvalho (51'), Cuesta (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tripichio (78')
Malatini (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Botafogo and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Botafogo
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Emelec
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
54.2% ( -0.07)	25.44% ( 0.03)	20.36% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 45.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31% (

-0.06)

56.68% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

-0.05)

77.64% (

0.05)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

-0.05)

20.95% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.3% (

-0.08)

53.7% (

0.08)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.17% (

42.83% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.86% (

79.14% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 54.19%

Defensa y Justicia 20.36%

Draw 25.44%

Botafogo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.19%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.36%