Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8

Oct 11, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
4 - 3
Boca Juniors

Passerini (3', 3', 38', 38'), Barinaga (34', 34'), Rolon (45+1', 45+1')
Passerini (3'), Passerini (3'), Losada (72'), Losada (72')

FT(HT: 8-4)

Benedetto (19', 19'), Merentiel (29', 29', 57', 57')
Merentiel (44'), Merentiel (44'), Valentini (71'), Valentini (71'), Rojo (90+3'), Rojo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions

Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Belgrano
Sunday, October 1 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Boca Juniors (2-4 pen.)
Friday, October 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Boca Juniors
38.03% ( -0.31)	30.9% ( -0.06)	31.07% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 39.45% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.93% (

0.23)

68.07% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.02% (

0.15)

85.98% (

-0.16)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.31% (

-0.07)

34.69% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.58% (

-0.08)

71.42% (

0.07)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4% (

0.42)

39.6% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72% (

0.39)

76.28% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 38.03%

Boca Juniors 31.07%

Draw 30.89%

Belgrano	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.03%	0-0 @ 13.73% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.89%	0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 31.07%