Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2023 12.00am
4
3
HT : 8 4
FT Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
  • Lucas Passerini 3' goal
  • Lucas Passerini 3' goal
  • Lucas Passerini 3' yellowcard
  • Lucas Passerini 3' yellowcard
  • Juan Barinaga 34' goal
  • Juan Barinaga 34' goal
  • Lucas Passerini 38' goal
  • Lucas Passerini 38' goal
  • Esteban Rolon 45'+1' goal
  • Esteban Rolon 45'+1' goal
  • Nahuel Losada 72' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Losada 72' yellowcard
  • goal Dario Benedetto 19'
  • goal Dario Benedetto 19'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 29'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 29'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 44'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 44'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 57'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Valentini 71'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Valentini 71'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 90'+3'

Belgrano vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 10.45pm
Talleres 0 - 0 Belgrano
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 6.00pm
Boca Juniors 0 - 2 River Plate
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result

Belgrano 38.03% (-0.31)
Draw 30.9% (-0.07)
Boca Juniors 31.07% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.45% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 31.93% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 68.07% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 14.02% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 85.98% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 5.13% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 94.87% (-0.08)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 65.31% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.69% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 28.58% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.42% (+0.08)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 60.4% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 39.6% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 23.72% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 76.28% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Belgrano 38.03%
Draw 30.89%
Boca Juniors 31.07%
Belgrano
1-0 @ 14.54% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 38.03%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.73% (-0.12)
1-1 @ 13.47% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.89%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 12.72% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.24% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.89% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.93% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-98.78)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 31.07%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
May 14, 2023 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Martin Payero 49' goal
  • Dario Benedetto 52' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Feb 11, 2019 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Julio César Villagra (Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba)
  • Juan Quiroga 29' yellowcard
  • Juan Patino 63' yellowcard
  • Federico Lertora 81' goal
  • Juan Patino 94' redcard
  • goal Lisandro Lopez 16'
  • yellowcard Julio Buffarini 38'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 58'
  • yellowcard Carlos Izquierdoz 83'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 84'