Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 6, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
1 - 1
Boca Juniors

Piquerez (73', 73')
Rony (15'), Rony (15'), Gomez (40'), Gomez (40'), Veiga (43'), Veiga (43'), Endrick (83'), Endrick (83')
FT
(aet)
Cavani (23', 23')
Almiron (16'), Almiron (16'), Rojo (51'), Rojo (51'), Fabra (69'), Fabra (69'), Figal (75'), Figal (75'), Fernandez (76'), Fernandez (76'), Romero (90+3'), Medina (90'), Romero (90+3'), Medina (90')
Rojo (66'), Rojo (66')
Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-2 River Plate
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.04%).

Result
PalmeirasDrawBoca Juniors
57.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.012 -0.01)77.35% (0.012 0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (0.0039999999999907 0)19.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.54% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)45.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.026 -0.03)81.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 57.23%
    Boca Juniors 18.15%
    Draw 24.6%
PalmeirasDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08%
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 57.23%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Boca Juniors

Palmeiras
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Boca Juniors
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Boca Juniors
0-0
Palmeiras
Advincula (31'), Benedetto (57')
Rafael (23'), Ferreira (61')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2018 12.45am
-
Palmeiras
2-2
Boca Juniors
Garcia (53'), Gomez (60' pen.)
Melo (27'), Garcia (42'), Gomez (76'), Deyverson (93')
Abila (18'), Benedetto (70')
Abila (57'), Perez (67')
Oct 25, 2018 1.45am
-
Boca Juniors
2-0
Palmeiras
Benedetto (83', 88')
Zarate (23'), Olaza (29'), Villa (63')

Henrique (22'), Gomez (30')
Apr 26, 2018 1.45am
-
Boca Juniors
0-2
Palmeiras

Abila (41'), Magallan (42'), Perez (77'), Nandez (86')
Keno (40'), Lima (67')
Keno (55'), Rocha (75'), Hyoran (88')
Apr 12, 2018 1.45am
-
Palmeiras
1-1
Boca Juniors
Keno (90')
Melo (13'), Keno (91')
Tevez (92')
Magallan (38')