Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Palmeiras

Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Palmeiras


Advincula (31'), Advincula (31'), Benedetto (57'), Benedetto (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rafael (23'), Rafael (23'), Ferreira (61'), Ferreira (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Lanus
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras
Friday, September 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawPalmeiras
34.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)29.16% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)36.23% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.4% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61% (0.068999999999996 0.07)62.39% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05)82.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02)33.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (0.023 0.02)70.57% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (0.064000000000007 0.06)32.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (0.071000000000002 0.07)69.4% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 34.61%
    Palmeiras 36.22%
    Draw 29.16%
Boca JuniorsDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.16%
0-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.22%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras

Boca Juniors
24.0%
Draw
28.0%
Palmeiras
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2018 12.45am
-
Palmeiras
2-2
Boca Juniors
Garcia (53'), Gomez (60' pen.)
Melo (27'), Garcia (42'), Gomez (76'), Deyverson (93')
Abila (18'), Benedetto (70')
Abila (57'), Perez (67')
Oct 25, 2018 1.45am
-
Boca Juniors
2-0
Palmeiras
Benedetto (83', 88')
Zarate (23'), Olaza (29'), Villa (63')

Henrique (22'), Gomez (30')
Apr 26, 2018 1.45am
-
Boca Juniors
0-2
Palmeiras

Abila (41'), Magallan (42'), Perez (77'), Nandez (86')
Keno (40'), Lima (67')
Keno (55'), Rocha (75'), Hyoran (88')
Apr 12, 2018 1.45am
-
Palmeiras
1-1
Boca Juniors
Keno (90')
Melo (13'), Keno (91')
Tevez (92')
Magallan (38')