Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas

Dep. Pereira
0 - 4
Palmeiras

Vasquez (49'), Vasquez (49'), Quintero (68'), Quintero (68')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Veiga (23' pen., 23' pen.), Rocha (31', 31'), Mayke (34', 34'), Rony (82', 82')
Ferreira (59'), Ferreira (59'), Menino (70'), Menino (70'), Fabinho (90+1'), Fabinho (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportivo Pereira and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Pereira

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, August 19 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Pereira	Draw	Palmeiras
30.44% ( -0.34)	28.52% ( 0.06)	41.03% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 45.27% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.09% (

-0.31)

60.9% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.08% (

-0.24)

80.92% (

0.23)

Deportivo Pereira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

-0.43)

36.09% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.13% (

-0.43)

72.87% (

0.43)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0)

29.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89%

65.1% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Pereira 30.43%

Palmeiras 41.02%

Draw 28.51%

Deportivo Pereira	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.43%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.51%	0-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.02%