Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Aug 3, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas

Dep. Pereira
1 - 0
Independiente

(Deportivo Pereira win 2-1 on aggregate)

Danilo Santacruz Gonzalez (58')
Rodriguez (19'), Antonio Moreno Gomez (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportivo Pereira and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Pereira

Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, June 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Independiente del Valle

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Independiente (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 9pm in UEFA CONMEBOL Club Challenge

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pereira win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportivo Pereira in this match.

Result
Deportivo Pereira	Draw	Independiente del Valle
37.05% ( -0)	27.68% ( -0)	35.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.76% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95% (

0.01)

57.05% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.07% (

0.01)

77.94% (

-0)

Deportivo Pereira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

29.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

65.66%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28% (

0.01)

30.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.03% (

0.01)

66.98% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Pereira 37.04%

Independiente del Valle 35.28%

Draw 27.67%

Deportivo Pereira	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.04%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.28%