Copa Libertadores
Jun 29, 2023 1.30am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Lorenzo Faravelli 23' goal
  • Lorenzo Faravelli 23' goal
  • Lautaro Diaz 48' goal
  • Lautaro Diaz 48' goal
  • Kevin Rodriguez 90' goal
  • Kevin Rodriguez 90' goal
  • goal Mateo Carabajal 44' (OG)
  • goal Mateo Carabajal 44' (OG)
  • goal Leonardo Heredia 87'
  • goal Leonardo Heredia 87'

Independiente del Valle vs Argentinos Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 7, 2023 11.00pm
Independiente 3 - 0 Corinthians

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 7, 2023 11.00pm
Argentinos Jrs 2 - 1 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result

Independiente del Valle 37.3% (-0.02)
Draw 26.83% (+0.02)
Argentinos Juniors 35.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.31% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 53.69% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 24.82% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 75.18% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 11.24% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.76% (+0.04)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 72.16% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.84% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.56% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 63.44% (+0.05)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 71.3% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.7% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 35.48% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.52% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 37.3%
Draw 26.83%
Argentinos Juniors 35.87%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.21% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.53% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 37.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.83%
Argentinos Juniors
0-1 @ 9.97% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.23% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.87%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 4, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Javier Cabrera 46' goal