Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
37.3% ( -0.01)	26.83% ( 0.01)	35.87%

Both teams to score 51.45% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31% (

-0.05)

53.69% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82% (

-0.05)

75.18% (

0.05)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.04)

27.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

-0.05)

63.44% (

0.04)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.03)

28.7% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

-0.03)

64.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 37.3%

Argentinos Juniors 35.87%

Draw 26.83%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.87%