Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.