Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa

Independiente
1 - 1
Dep. Pereira

(Deportivo Pereira win 2-1 on aggregate)

Hoyos (6', 6')
Faravelli (29'), Faravelli (29'), Carabajal (31'), Pellerano (31'), Sornoza (40'), Sornoza (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Angulo (50', 50')
Angulo (20'), Angulo (20'), Rodriguez (41'), Rodriguez (41'), Hernando Murillo Renteria (90+3'), Hernando Murillo Renteria (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and Deportivo Pereira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Deportivo Pereira

Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Deportivo Pereira
62.61% ( -0)	22.31%	15.08% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.5% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

52.47% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86%

74.14%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75% (

16.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.23% (

-0)

45.77% (

Deportivo Pereira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.13% (

46.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.61% (

82.39% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 62.6%

Deportivo Pereira 15.08%

Draw 22.31%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Deportivo Pereira
1-0 @ 13.83% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.8% Total : 62.6%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 5.77% 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.19% 1-3 @ 1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.23% Total : 15.08%