Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigre in this match.