Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.