Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

(Sao Paulo win 2-1 on aggregate)

Calleri (45'), Luciano (67')
Junior (0'), Neves (29'), Luciano (36'), Maia (45+4'), Alisson (74'), Nestor (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bareiro (36'), Perez (59'), Giay (66'), Hernandez (87'), Hernandez (87')
Insua (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	San Lorenzo
58.22% ( -0.54)	25.8% ( 0.34)	15.97% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 37.59% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.11% (

-0.73)

62.89% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.61% (

-0.53)

82.38% (

0.53)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.52)

21.84% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.8)

55.07% (

0.81)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.1% (

-0.15)

51.9% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.06% (

-0.1)

85.94% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 58.21%

San Lorenzo 15.97%

Draw 25.8%

Sao Paulo	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 17.24% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.21%	0-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.39% Total : 15.97%