Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 25
Jul 16, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
  • goal Gonzalo Maroni 31'

Belgrano vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 10, 2023 8.30pm
Colon 0 - 0 Belgrano
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 River Plate
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Adam Bareiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.76%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (6.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result

Belgrano 35.76% (+0.26)
Draw 32.72% (+0.10)
San Lorenzo 31.51% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.44% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 27.25% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 72.75% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 11.06% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 88.94% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 3.72% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 96.27% (+0.08)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 61.12% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.87% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.39% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.6% (-0.02)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 57.97% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 42.03% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 21.54% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 78.46% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Belgrano 35.76%
Draw 32.71%
San Lorenzo 31.51%
Belgrano
1-0 @ 15.43% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.29% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.76%
Draw
0-0 @ 16.33% (+0.16)
1-1 @ 13.38% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 32.71%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 14.16% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 31.51%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 20
Feb 23, 2019 10.20pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Julio César Villagra (Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba)
  • Federico Lertora 33' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Cuero 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelo Herrera 34'