Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.76%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (6.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	San Lorenzo
35.76% ( 0.25)	32.72% ( 0.1)	31.51% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 35.44% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.25% (

-0.26)

72.75% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.06% (

-0.16)

88.94% (

0.16)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12% (

0.02)

38.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39% (

0.02)

75.6% (

-0.02)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.97% (

-0.42)

42.03% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54% (

-0.37)

78.46% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 35.76%

San Lorenzo 31.51%

Draw 32.71%

Belgrano	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.43% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.76%	0-0 @ 16.33% ( 0.16) 1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 32.71%	0-1 @ 14.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 31.51%