Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.