Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • Malcom Braida 50' goal

San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 21, 2023 11.00pm
Estudiantes 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Adam Bareiro

Rosario Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 11.00pm
Rosario 1 - 1 Colon
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Alejo Veliz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result

San Lorenzo 59.29% (+6.23)
Draw 25.07% (-2.35)
Rosario Central 15.63% (-3.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.64% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.9% (+2.79)
Under 2.5 61.1% (-2.79)
Over 3.5 18.93% (+2.04)
Under 3.5 81.07% (-2.04)
Over 4.5 7.73% (+1.12)
Under 4.5 92.27% (-1.12)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 79.32% (+3.83)
Under 0.5 20.68% (-3.83)
Over 1.5 46.73% (+5.69)
Under 1.5 53.27% (-5.70)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 48.71% (-3.26)
Under 0.5 51.29% (+3.26)
Over 1.5 14.46% (-2.29)
Under 1.5 85.53% (+2.29)

Score analysis

San Lorenzo 59.29%
Draw 25.06%
Rosario Central 15.64%
San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.71% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 13.17% (+1.54)
2-1 @ 8.8% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 6.92% (+1.47)
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.62)
4-0 @ 2.73% (+0.81)
4-1 @ 1.82% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 1.54% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.98)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-1.17)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 25.06%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 7.08% (-1.55)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.73)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.81)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 15.64%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Aug 27, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gonzalo Maroni 13' yellowcard
  • Federico Gattoni 44' yellowcard
  • Cristian Zapata 73' yellowcard
  • Federico Gattoni 79' goal
  • Gaston Hernandez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Ortiz 6'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 26'
  • yellowcard Francis Mac Allister 39'
  • yellowcard Victor Malcorra 74'
  • goal Victor Malcorra 75'
Copa Diego Maradona
Sep 20, 2021 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pedro Ojeda 45' yellowcard
  • Luca Martinez 86' goal
  • Luca Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeison Gordillo 16'
  • yellowcard Gino Peruzzi 45'+1'
Copa Sudamericana
May 13, 2021 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gaston Avila 25' goal
  • Francisco Flores 44' yellowcard
  • Federico Gattoni 48' yellowcard
  • Victor Salazar 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 24'
  • yellowcard Marco Ruben 40'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Vecchio 65'
  • goal Federico Gattoni 66' (OG)
  • redcard Cristian Alberto Gonzalez Peret 66'
  • goal Emiliano Vecchio 72'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 29, 2021 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
  • Facundo Ezequiel Almada 11' goal
  • Damian Martinez 48' yellowcard
  • Rafael Sangiovani 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Gamba 81' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Diaz 42'
Copa Diego Maradona
Apr 2, 2021 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Franco Di Santo 37' goal
  • Lucas Melano 64' yellowcard
  • Siro Rosane 70' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sabella 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Angel Romero 90'+13' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Tanlongo 35'
  • yellowcard Gaston Avila 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 75'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Vecchio 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Luciano Ferreyra 90'+10'
  • redcard Emiliano Vecchio 90'+10'
  • redcard Lautaro Blanco 90'+12'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2019 9.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)
  • Victor Salazar 20' yellowcard
  • Fernando Belluschi 23' goal
  • Bruno Pitton 42' goal
  • Lucas Menossi 44' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Riano 12'
  • goal Ciro Rius 21'
  • yellowcard Matias Caruzzo 31'
  • yellowcard Fabian Rinaudo 41'