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San Lorenzo1 - 0Rosario
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
for
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Rosario Central |
59.29% ( 6.22) | 25.07% ( -2.35) | 15.63% ( -3.88) |
| Both teams to score 38.64% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.9% ( 2.79) | 61.1% ( -2.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.93% ( 2.04) | 81.07% ( -2.04) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( 3.82) | 20.68% ( -3.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( 5.69) | 53.27% ( -5.69) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.71% ( -3.26) | 51.29% ( 3.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.46% ( -2.28) | 85.53% ( 2.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.71% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 13.17% ( 1.54)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 6.92% ( 1.46)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.62)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.81)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.97) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -1.16)2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.37% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -1.55) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.72)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.8)Other @ 2.46% Total : 15.64% |
How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Rosario
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