Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.43%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.