Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21

Jun 21, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
1 - 1
San Lorenzo

Ascacibar (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bareiro (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Colon 1-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, June 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 C. Cordoba
Monday, June 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.43%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	San Lorenzo
50.9% ( 6.81)	28.31% ( -0.98)	20.79% ( -5.82)

Both teams to score 38.76% (

-2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.62% (

-0.66)

65.38% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84% (

-0.46)

84.15% (

0.46)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

3.15)

26.19% (

-3.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

4.04)

61.28% (

-4.04)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.52% (

-6.12)

47.48% (

6.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.15% (

-4.97)

82.84% (

4.98)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 50.9%

San Lorenzo 20.79%

Draw 28.3%

Estudiantes	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.66% ( 1.79) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 2.04) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 1.26) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.42) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.24) Other @ 1.77% Total : 50.9%	0-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -1.45) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -1.18) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -1.28) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.56) Other @ 2.31% Total : 20.79%