Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
May 28, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
  • Alexis Dominguez 12' goal

Barracas Central vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barracas Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 21, 2023 10.00pm
Colon 1 - 1 Barracas Central
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Francisco Alvarez

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 20, 2023 6.00pm
San Lorenzo 2 - 0 Instituto
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Adam Bareiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Barracas Central 26.49% (+2.59)
Draw 28.96% (-0.25)
San Lorenzo 44.55% (-2.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.15% (+2.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.21% (+2.05)
Under 2.5 63.78% (-2.05)
Over 3.5 16.97% (+1.44)
Under 3.5 83.03% (-1.44)
Over 4.5 6.65% (+0.76)
Under 4.5 93.35% (-0.76)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5 59.07% (+3.60)
Under 0.5 40.93% (-3.60)
Over 1.5 22.5% (+3.06)
Under 1.5 77.49% (-3.06)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 71.36% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 28.64% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 35.55% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 64.45% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Barracas Central 26.49%
Draw 28.95%
San Lorenzo 44.55%
Barracas Central
1-0 @ 10.47% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 5.85% (+0.64)
2-0 @ 4.68% (+0.54)
3-1 @ 1.74% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 1.39% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-87.42)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 26.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.09% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 11.72% (-0.92)
2-2 @ 3.66% (+0.38)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.95%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 14.65% (-1.26)
0-2 @ 9.16% (-0.85)
1-2 @ 8.19% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.39)
1-3 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 44.55%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 3, 2022 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Bruno Sepulveda 14' goal
  • Neri Bandiera 39' goal
  • Brian Calderara 72' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Vazquez 83' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Bareiro 37'
  • yellowcard 41'
  • yellowcard Federico Gattoni 56'