Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	River Plate
30.06% ( 0.2)	26.64% ( 0.16)	43.3% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 50.49% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79% (

-0.56)

54.2% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-0.47)

75.61% (

0.47)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

-0.15)

32.82% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.61% (

-0.16)

69.39% (

0.16)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.43)

24.83% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57% (

-0.6)

59.43% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 30.06%

River Plate 43.29%

Draw 26.63%

San Lorenzo	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.06%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 43.29%