Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.