Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
21
Jun 22, 2023 11.45pm
3
1
HT :
1
1
FT
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
-
Nicolas de la Cruz
34'
-
Ignacio Fernandez
50'
-
Lucas Beltran
84'
-
Santiago Rodriguez
1'
River Plate vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 7.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result
River Plate
76.44%
▼
(-6.82)
Draw
15.83%
▲
(+4.01)
Instituto
7.72%
▲
(+2.81)
Both Teams to Score:
40.26%
▲
(+2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.78%
▼
(-7.12)
Under 2.5
44.22%
▲
(+7.12)
Over 3.5
33.41%
▼
(-7.30)
Under 3.5
66.6%
▲
(+7.30)
Over 4.5
17.09%
▼
(-5.62)
Under 4.5
82.91%
▲
(+5.62)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5
90.23%
▼
(-3.17)
Under 0.5
9.77%
▲
(+3.17)
Over 1.5
67.5%
▼
(-7.95)
Under 1.5
32.5%
▲
(+7.95)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5
44.62%
▲
(+3.72)
Under 0.5
55.38%
▼
(-3.72)
Over 1.5
11.9%
▲
(+2.08)
Under 1.5
88.1%
▼
(-2.08)
Score analysis
River Plate
76.43%
Draw
15.83%
Instituto
7.72%
River Plate
2-0
@
14.63%
▲
(+0.23)
1-0 @ 12.58% ▲ (+1.99)
3-0 @ 11.34% ▼ (-1.72)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+1.07)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-2.28)
4-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.77)
5-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-1.75)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.18)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.73)
6-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-1.00)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 76.43%
1-0 @ 12.58% ▲ (+1.99)
3-0 @ 11.34% ▼ (-1.72)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+1.07)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-2.28)
4-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.77)
5-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-1.75)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.18)
5-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.73)
6-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-1.00)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 76.43%
Draw
1-1
@
7.44%
▲
(+1.86)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+1.51)
2-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.57)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 15.83%
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+1.51)
2-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.57)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 15.83%
Instituto
0-1
@
3.2%
▲
(+1.15)
1-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.73)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 7.72%
1-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.73)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 7.72%