Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Banfield win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.