Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 5.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.62%) and 3-0 (13.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.